South Coast office market supply to fall below 1m sq ft in 2016

Andrew Hodgkinson, Director, Lambert Smith Hampton’s South Coast Office Agency

The lack of supply in the South Coast office market remains critical and take-up is suffering as a consequence, reports Lambert Smith Hampton in its annual South Coast office market briefing. It is expected that availability will fall to less than 1 million sq ft by the end of 2016.

Highlighting a lack of supply and improving demand, notable office buildings along the M27 corridor that had been vacant for some time are now fully let. These include Forum 1 and Spectrum – both on Solent Business Park, Spinnaker House in Fareham and Pavilion in Hedge End – almost all of this space has been let within the last 12 months. At the Eastern end of the corridor, significant buildings such as Langstone Technology Park have over 90% occupancy, there is very little supply in Portsmouth city centre and 1000 Lakeside is, in effect, fully let.

A decline in enquiries was seen during the second half of 2015, and in particular, in Q4. This is likely to have been influenced in part by global economic factors and also the continued fall in supply, with opportunities for businesses to relocate being constrained, prompting occupiers to renew leases within their current buildings. We anticipate a possible fall in take-up in 2016 as a result. On a more positive note, the first signs of speculative development are emerging and rents are expected to continue their upward trajectory.

Andrew Hodgkinson, director of office agency for Lambert Smith Hampton’s Southampton office, comments: “Despite the challenges in the global economy, the outlook for 2016 is positive, with the IMF forecasting 2.2% economic growth for the UK. Whilst enquiry levels dropped towards the end of 2015, the average transaction size actually increased. Despite the well-documented issues with supply, occupiers with strong balance sheets are still planning for growth and we predict some significant lettings in the Solent region during 2016.”

The report features an overview of the occupier, investment and development markets, a focus on the key transactions of 2015 and comprehensive floor space statistics, along with a forecast for 2016.